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Madden NFL Overdrive Pack Probabilities Update

Introducing Madden NFL Overdrive Pack Probabilities

Madden NFL Overdrive


We want you to have the best experience with our game, so we want to share more information with you that will be helpful as you make choices while you play. With the launch of Madden NFL Overdrive, that includes displaying Pack probabilities, which will detail the likelihood of what you will get in the Packs you purchase. 

In the Madden NFL Overdrive marketplace, you will now be able to see the Pack probabilities for most Packs by tapping “More Pack Info.” There, you’ll see the Pack probabilities grouped by OVR and rarity. Because there are a number of unique Items found from one Pack to the next, we’ve grouped Items into categories. Oftentimes, Packs that advertise specific promotions will include probabilities for promotional categories.

Our Pack probabilities in Madden NFL Overdrive are built to ensure that you will always have a guaranteed return for any Pack purchase. This means that any category listed at 100% will always result in an Item from that category being awarded to you. Every Pack description in the Madden NFL Overdrive Store also lists how many Items you’ll receive in total.

The probabilities are on a Pack by Pack basis and are not cumulative. That means that each Pack opening is an independent event, and opening multiple of the same pack does not change the likelihood of being awarded an Item.

Pack probabilities in Madden NFL Overdrive are calculated mathematically. Probabilities are then validated by simulating the opening of a very large number of packs. The number of packs opened in a simulation varies based on item rarity, but it will always be enough to be statistically valid.

Madden NFL Overdrive is a live-service game that is constantly evolving, Packs included. From time to time, we may issue new Packs, especially alongside new Programs and into the offseason. These packs may have altered probabilities compared to previously-issued Packs. You will always have the option to check a Pack for the latest probabilities before you buy it through the “More Pack Info” screen.

Making this change was important to us so we can continue to be transparent with you. We want to give you more information to help you decide how you play our game, what you play and what you invest in. We value player choice and remain committed to ensuring that Madden NFL Overdrive is rewarding and fun for everyone.

Madden NFL Overdrive will be a free update to Madden NFL Mobile, coming August 15th. Pre-register now at:

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